Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.107186 0.164371 0.231626 0.313997 0.409969 0.516421 0.641735
2025-12-21 0.044765 0.111912 0.207669 0.340045 0.507961 0.706032 0.950554
2025-12-28 0.021709 0.088767 0.200800 0.368348 0.591301 0.862696 1.205419
2026-01-04 0.007472 0.066935 0.187618 0.382746 0.653734 0.992407 1.427943
2026-01-11 0.002727 0.059149 0.192882 0.420422 0.744641 1.156006 1.690410
2026-01-18 0.000329 0.050038 0.192493 0.447841 0.820742 1.300535 1.929583
2026-01-25 NaN 0.036416 0.178358 0.451231 0.862123 1.399750 2.112272
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018952 0.146181 0.420308 0.851979 1.430140 2.207645
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006528 0.112756 0.380234 0.824151 1.434221 2.267505
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002092 0.096579 0.367530 0.834427 1.487350 2.388319
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000693 0.091104 0.374418 0.873954 1.579713 2.559352
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000010 0.081562 0.371024 0.896521 1.648391 2.699532
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.066704 0.354309 0.898977 1.692043 2.811624
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.071597 0.384416 0.978516 1.844547 3.067900
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.076275 0.413975 1.057144 1.995771 3.322499
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.075330 0.429468 1.112596 2.114614 3.534875
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.084059 0.469453 1.208936 2.291336 3.823773
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.088445 0.498535 1.287283 2.442888 4.079811
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.082954 0.502122 1.323049 2.534368 4.256833
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.064900 0.469341 1.296141 2.536121 4.314717
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045986 0.426760 1.249214 2.507238 4.330382
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037803 0.413236 1.251463 2.548183 4.438294
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035896 0.420570 1.290982 2.643483 4.619340